Blogs of War

Hizballah Cavalcade

Internet Haganah



Kremlin Trolls

Making Sense of Jihad

Selected Wisdom

Views from the Occident


American Terrorists

Anwar Awlaki

Al Qaeda


American Al Qaeda Members

Inspire Magazine

Revolution Muslim


News, documents and analysis on violent extremism

Friday, June 8, 2007

Al Qaeda Declares Jihad On India

It's not exactly a surprise that al Qaeda would want to declare jihad against India -- assuming the video announcement today checks out as authentic, and it very well may not. But even a forgery is doubtless a harbinger of things to come.

Al Qaeda and its allies have been fighting a guerilla war in Kashmir, along the India-Pakistan border, for nearly two decades off and on.

What's surprising is that al Qaeda took this long to make a bold, visible move. Al Qaeda has everything to gain by inciting India, because India (with some justification) sees al Qaeda as a Pakistani problem. Last year's Mumbai bombing was carried out by LeT, one of al Qaeda's fairly close affiliates in Pakistan.

If al Qaeda stages and claims spectacular attacks in India, India may consider an attack on Pakistan -- al Qaeda's home base -- as retaliation and preemption (under the Bush doctrine). Since both Pakistan and India are nuclear powers, that creates a real risk of unthinkable carnage.

Furthermore, any sort of shooting war between Pakistan and India would almost certainly destabilize the Musharraf regime, giving that nation's powerful Islamist factions an opportunity to seize control of the country and its nuclear arsenal.

Pakistan is already one of the countries most at risk in the current political environment -- a coup or civil war could easily end with al Qaeda and Taliban sympathizers in charge. And any sort of substantial chaos in Pakistan exponentially increases the odds al Qaeda can contrive access to nuclear materials.


Views expressed on INTELWIRE are those of the author alone.



Tweets referencing this post:



", granular analysis..."

ISIS: The State of Terror
"Jessica Stern and J.M. Berger's new book, "ISIS," should be required reading for every politician and policymaker... Their smart, granular analysis is a bracing antidote to both facile dismissals and wild exaggerations... a nuanced and readable account of the ideological and organizational origins of the group." -- Washington Post

More on ISIS: The State of Terror

"...a timely warning..."

Jihad Joe: Americans Who Go to War in the Name of Islam:
"At a time when some politicians and pundits blur the line between Islam and terrorism, Berger, who knows this subject far better than the demagogues, sharply cautions against vilifying Muslim Americans. ... It is a timely warning from an expert who has not lost his perspective." -- New York Times

More on Jihad Joe


INTELWIRE is a web site edited by J.M. Berger. a researcher, analyst and consultant covering extremism, with a special focus on extremist activities in the U.S. and extremist use of social media. He is a non-resident fellow with the Brookings Institution, Project on U.S. Relations with the Islamic World, and author of the critically acclaimed Jihad Joe: Americans Who Go to War in the Name of Islam, the only definitive history of the U.S. jihadist movement, and co-author of ISIS: The State of Terror with Jessica Stern.


Newest posts!

Infidel Bugs Spoil Al-Libbi's Eulogy of Dadullah

New Yahya Al Libbi Video Coming Soon

Changes Coming In The Intelligence Authorization A...

No Entry

Yahya Al-Libbi: A Leader Who Could Revitalize Al Q...

J.M. Berger Discusses Khalifa on Al Jazeera

Greening the Sahara

More Bad News, But It's Good We're Talking About I...

LA Times: Iraq Is Strengthening Al Qaeda

Patterns of Global Terror 2006


New York Pipe Bomb Suspect Linked to Revolution Muslim

The Utility of Lone Wolves

Interview with Online Jihadist Abu Suleiman Al Nasser

A Way Forward for CVE: The Five Ds

How Terrorists Use The Internet: Just Like You

PATCON: The FBI's Secret War on the Militia Movement

Interview About Jihad With Controversial Cleric Bilal Philips

Forgeries on the Jihadist Forums

U.S. Gave Millions To Charity Linked To Al Qaeda, Anwar Awlaki

State Department Secretly Met With Followers of Blind Sheikh

State Department Put 'Political Pressure' On FBI To Deport Brother-in-Law Of Osama Bin Laden In 1995

FBI Records Reveal Details Of Nixon-Era Racial Profiling Program Targeting Arabs

Gaza Flotilla Official Was Foreign Fighter in Bosnia War

U.S. Had 'High Confidence' Of UBL Attack In June 2001

Behind the Handshake: The Rumsfeld-Saddam Meeting